Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-13 63.246232 71.684897 80.348866 89.876261 100.027031 110.488769 122.056185
2025-07-20 51.423856 63.621174 76.738086 91.757604 108.352130 126.010167 146.106755
2025-07-27 43.089919 57.168455 72.860241 91.367449 112.339964 135.138187 161.572433
2025-08-03 36.485633 51.738111 69.311956 90.589192 115.227696 142.488342 174.574501
2025-08-10 31.912192 48.110338 67.337488 91.147738 119.221075 150.731147 188.264177
2025-08-17 27.521339 44.218186 64.644544 90.503541 121.518522 156.796838 199.277510
2025-08-24 24.213708 41.348217 62.909130 90.751632 124.650275 163.651990 211.049479
2025-08-31 20.839242 38.045773 60.359885 89.771519 126.125168 168.426175 220.294404
2025-09-07 18.792109 36.347300 59.699314 90.997353 130.150427 176.113122 232.861527
2025-09-14 17.103766 34.986129 59.353221 92.517820 134.458453 184.082080 245.723867
2025-09-21 14.810082 32.505063 57.340421 91.766493 135.856369 188.496084 254.337361
2025-09-28 12.346375 29.490935 54.397652 89.639735 135.405293 190.580802 260.103892
2025-10-05 11.770476 29.451414 55.615165 93.032909 141.968302 201.255167 276.233178
2025-10-12 10.832444 28.719557 55.791185 95.003573 146.714396 209.722840 289.746713
2025-10-19 9.356608 26.898033 54.272707 94.597091 148.351878 214.333057 298.586985
2025-10-26 7.952394 25.017384 52.542357 93.804357 149.418123 218.186752 306.474906
2025-11-02 7.011220 23.871745 51.839999 94.374058 152.213732 224.156631 316.914519
2025-11-09 5.916666 22.261599 50.317924 93.716772 153.343148 228.009943 324.747474
2025-11-16 5.118757 21.133306 49.477174 93.969917 155.636320 233.296209 334.318878
2025-11-23 4.196332 19.560508 47.817506 92.969784 156.204004 236.369685 341.144215
2025-11-30 3.733503 18.966886 47.725360 94.220644 159.775671 243.238886 352.651042
2025-12-07 3.357938 18.522032 47.850703 95.771956 163.744187 250.612113 364.788673
2025-12-14 2.713089 17.232635 46.452345 95.005414 164.524254 253.890700 371.830979